There is a gaping hole
in the latest effort to reinvigorate the search for extraterrestrial
intelligence (SETI), one so big it could hold an estimated 357 million boxes of
cornflakes.
The hole opened last
week when tech billionaire Yuri Milner announced the Breakthrough Listen
initiative, a 10-year, $100-million shot in the arm for SETI, operated through
Milner’s Breakthrough Prize Foundation. The initiative includes funding for
unprecedented amounts of SETI time at three world-class observatories: the Green
Bank Telescope in West Virginia, the Automated Planet Finder telescope in
California and the Parkes Observatory in Australia. What’s missing from the
partnership is the Arecibo Observatory in Puerto Rico, which at 305 meters wide
is the biggest and most sensitive single-dish radio telescope in the world.
SETI godfather and former Arecibo director, astronomer Frank Drake, once
calculated that the instrument could not only hold all those cornflakes, but
also receive (or send) radio messages throughout much of the galaxy.
Arecibo Observatory,
the world's largest and most sensitive single-dish radio telescope, faces an
uncertain future amidst a tug-of-war between public and private funding
sources.
Photo courtesy of the
NAIC - Arecibo Observatory, a facility of the NSF / Photo by H. Schweiker
The omission at first
seems inexplicable, because SETI and Arecibo are inseparably intertwined.
Drake, a key player in Breakthrough Listen, famously used the telescope in 1974
to transmit his “Arecibo message” toward the globular star cluster M13. The
message was meant to be an interstellar postcard from our culture, and included
pictographic figures of our planet, our solar system and even the recipe for
DNA. Today, the observatory remains the primary source feeding data to the
groundbreaking SETI@home citizen science project, which uses idle computer time
to scour the data for alien signals. Like Drake, SETI@home is also a key part
of the Breakthrough Listen initiative, and will be distributing some of the
project’s new data to its millions of volunteers.
The foundation was and
still is interested in partnering with Arecibo, Scientific American has
learned. But according to Arecibo Director Robert Kerr, that partnership is
currently being prevented due to a poison pill inserted by the observatory’s
owner, the National Science Foundation (NSF). The situation is a startling
example of a cash-strapped federal agency seeking to offload an expensive,
world-class facility to the private sector—at the potential cost of
compromising its ability to perform world-class scientific research.
Driven by budget cuts,
for years the NSF has sought to preserve its extensive program of research
grants and to support newer facilities by divesting from older ones, including
Arecibo, encouraging each one to find outside funding partners or to otherwise
risk closure. The NSF reviews and approves all possible partnerships, provided
the partnership does not interfere with an observatory’s obligations to the
agency. For instance, the NSF also owns Green Bank and is seeking to divest
from it as well, even though the state-of-the-art facility offers astronomers
the world’s largest fully steerable radio dish (Arecibo is much bigger, but
cannot be aimed at all parts of the sky). The NSF approved Green Bank’s
Breakthrough Listen partnership, allowing Milner to purchase 15 percent of the
telescope’s observing time for SETI, although NSF officials say even with that
cash infusion Green Bank’s continued operations remain in jeopardy.
According to Kerr,
Breakthrough presented Arecibo with a contract for a similar partnership, but
negotiations stalled when the NSF informed Kerr and the rest of Arecibo’s
Executive Governing Committee that the deal would be considered part of the
agency’s divestment strategy. That is, to accept money for Breakthrough Listen,
Arecibo would first have to forgo further funding from the NSF, which currently
provides some $4 million a year through a cooperative agreement that expires in
September 2016. (The observatory also receives funding from other sources,
including about $2 million a year from NASA, which uses Arecibo to monitor
potentially dangerous near-Earth asteroids.)
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Even with the
Breakthrough money promised by the foundation, Kerr says, the NSF’s divestment
“might well result in the cessation of science operations at Arecibo, and
possibly closure.” If Arecibo managed to stay open after divestment, Kerr says,
it would struggle to fulfill the proposed Breakthrough Listen contract, which
does not include funding for basic operational costs such as electrical power
for the telescope.
James Ulvestad,
director of the NSF’s Division of Astronomical Sciences, disputes Kerr’s
characterization of the situation. Arecibo, he says, is “incredibly valuable,”
and the NSF would be “quite pleased” if the observatory could partner with
Breakthrough. Even so, he would not rule out the possibility of the observatory
losing NSF funding through a future Breakthrough partnership. The decision,
Ulvestad says, hinges on details of the proposed partnership that Arecibo’s
management have yet to provide to the NSF.
“We don’t have any hard
and fast rule that says if you get some new partner that brings in a dollar,
then we’re going to take a dollar away from you,” Ulvestad says. Instead, he
says, the NSF evaluates any possible partnership based on how it affects the
agency’s broader mission. The NSF mandates that all of its telescopes, including
Arecibo, must conduct a program of observations proposed and selected via peer
review by the U.S. astronomy community. “We’re in the business every day of
making priority choices of where to spend a limited pot of money,” Ulvestad
says. “If some fraction of [Arecibo’s] time isn’t being spent on open-user
community science anymore, we have to think… Should we be giving them the same
amount of money to do less of our mission?”
Kerr rejects the NSF’s
position as a catch-22 cleverly designed to further the agency’s budget-cutting
goals. As appealing as the Breakthrough Listen observations at Arecibo might
be, they would be taking place outside the realm of peer review, and would thus
not contribute to that portion of the NSF’s mandate. The further cuts to
NSF-mandated science observations that would likely be required to fulfill a
Breakthrough Listen partnership could consequently provide the NSF with a
convenient excuse to justify divestment. “This new situation waxes
unscrupulous,” he says. “The NSF now insists that we do commercial,
non–peer-reviewed science so they can divest—and show positively that Arecibo
no longer does mainstream radio astronomy and is thus unworthy for NSF
investment. Amazing.”
In all likelihood,
Breakthrough will continue to court Arecibo, seeking a middle ground between
the struggling observatory and the NSF. In addition to Breakthrough Listen,
Milner has formed a sister initiative for which Arecibo seems custom-made.
Dubbed “Breakthrough Message,” the $1-million effort is an open competition to
design digital messages to send to extraterrestrial civilizations. Milner,
Drake and others involved with the project are careful to note that
Breakthrough Message does not presently include plans to unilaterally transmit
those messages—a practice that many astronomers now view as irresponsible and
potentially dangerous because it could attract the attention of hostile
advanced civilizations. But it is undeniable that transmitting targeted
messages would require much less time on Arecibo than a broadband, wide-field
search for talkative aliens, meaning it could more easily coexist with ongoing
NSF and NASA peer-reviewed science observations.
The NSF, for its part,
seems to have a vested interest in playing along. A full divestment and closure
of Arecibo—which was built in a giant limestone sinkhole deep in the Puerto
Rican jungle—would obligate the agency to dismantle the observatory and return
the area to its “natural state.” Two NSF-commissioned engineering studies since
2008 have priced that endeavor at around $100 million—the same price tag as
Milner’s entire decadal SETI effort.
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