The question of how to
save Greece, debated for more than five years, is the European Union’s
recurring nightmare. After the country’s citizens voted to reject the terms of
a new bailout by international creditors, Greece is now veering closer to
leaving the 19-nation eurozone and abandoning the shared euro currency, a move
that could destabilize the region and reverberate around the globe.
Frustrated European
leaders gave Greece until Sunday to reach a bailout agreement after an
emergency summit on Tuesday ended without the Athens government offering a
substantive new proposal to resolve its debt crisis.
Greece has since
requested a three-year loan from the eurozone’s bailout fund, and it promised
to make economic reforms as early as next week. The country’s finance minister
said that Greece would submit a proposal by Thursday that lays out “a comprehensive
and specific reform agenda.”
That’s the billion-euro
question.
Greek citizens
decidedly rejected the terms of an international bailout in a referendum last
weekend. The Greek government’s victory in the referendum, however, settled
little, since the creditors’ offer was technically no longer on the table.
All 28 European Union
leaders will now gather at a summit on Sunday for what has been described as a
final chance to resolve the Greek crisis.
The next major deadline
for Greece is in late July, when a 3.5 billion euro payment that Greece owes
the European Central Bank comes due. The E.C.B. on Monday said it would
continue to make 89 billion euros, or about $98.4 billion, in emergency loans
available to Greek banks. It is enough to keep the banks from failing but not
enough to prevent them from running out of cash that they can issue to
depositors within a few days.
If there is no
international bailout program in place by the July deadline, and little chance
of such a program being in the works, the central bank at that point would
probably have to finally take Greek banks off life support. Many analysts say
Greece cannot miss that payment without leaving the eurozone.
When borrowers —
whether they are countries, companies or individuals — do not pay their debts
on time, they are in default. For practical purposes, then, Greece — which on
Tuesday failed to make a scheduled debt repayment of about 1.5 billion euros,
or $1.7 billion, to the International Monetary Fund — has defaulted.
The I.M.F., however,
does not use the term default. It instead places countries that miss their
payments in what it calls arrears.
Semantics aside,
missing the payment might lead to a situation in which other large Greek debts
are classified as being in default.
A default, even when it
is not called one, is an event that can have serious repercussions for a
country’s economy and relations with other nations. Defaults can upset
financial markets, create uncertainty for other lenders, and generally crimp
economic activity.
No comments:
Post a Comment